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Sunday, August 2, 2015

Highers Taxes Are Coming

News
Higher taxes, the solution to mismanaged budgets, are coming at the local, state, and federal level.





Headline: Washington gas tax goes up Saturday

Washington’s gasoline tax goes up 7 cents Saturday but your price at the pump won’t automatically jump by that amount at 12:01 a.m. It could go up that much or more. Or less. Or it could stay the same. Or go down.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Greek Bailout Without IMF?

News
Staff from The International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that without debt relief it would not participate the latest aid package. Greece's high debt levels and poor record of implementing reforms disqualifies it from a third bailout. The Greece solution, while fading into the background noise recently, is not over. An expanding crisis is likely this fall.



Headline: Greece news live: IMF pulls out of new bail-out as Alexis Tsipras on collision course with Syriza dissenters

Staff at the Fund says Greece does not meet criteria for further bail-out cash as Tsipras tells party to hold a referendum on creditor conditions


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Saturday, August 1, 2015

Special: July-Dec $45

Special: July-Dec $45

Save $15 on Insights key. Enhance your understanding of trends, leverage, and time through the message of the market.

Rising volatility is confusing both bulls and bears. This makes understanding the message of the market even more important. The message of the market, subtle and quiet in comparison to the thundering voices descending from the pulpit of opinions, is often hidden in plain sight by the daily distractions of life.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

07/28/15 COT Matrix

COT Matrix
The COT Matrix compliments a broader message of price, leverage, and time discussed regularly for subscribers.

COT Matrix
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

07/28/15 Review of US Treasury Bonds $5

US TBonds
The cycle of accumulation and distribution defines cause (building) within a broader mark up phase for US Treasury Bonds.

A 25 basis point (bp) interest rate cut, the third reduction in six months that follows 100 bp reduction in the reserve requirement a month ago, extends a coordinated effort to spur economic growth throughout the global economy.

While coordinated 'stimulus' supports a countertrend rally of commodities foreshadowed by negative concentration discussed months ago, it won't reverse defensive global capital flows regardless of the hype. Defensive money flows likely includes US Treasury bonds until the wolf pack culls the herd of weak European and Asian debt. Only after the herd has been thinned will it focus on the US. Today's largely technical and countertrend decline should reverse and return to mark up as the global economy turns down. Gentleman could very well prefer government bonds, notes, and bills at least in the initial stages of the next panic.

Complacency towards longer duration bonds, however, should turn to fear. What Mellow omitted is that investors prefer the public sector (bonds) when confidence in the private sector (stocks) is failing. Investors preferred bonds in 1929 because confidence in the private sector was failing. While gentlemen could prefer bonds in the initial stages of the next panic, they'll like turn on them as confidence in the public sector falters from an already shaky position. This will turn complacency into fear rather quickly.

Insights follows interplay of price, leverage, time, and sentiment (click for further discussion of Reviews) to help recognize the transition from cause (building) to mark up or mark down for subscribers.

Please join us.





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07/28/15 Review of US Treasury Bonds

US TBonds
The cycle of accumulation and distribution defines cause (building) within a broader mark up phase for US Treasury Bonds.

A 25 basis point (bp) interest rate cut, the third reduction in six months that follows 100 bp reduction in the reserve requirement a month ago, extends a coordinated effort to spur economic growth throughout the global economy.

While coordinated 'stimulus' supports a countertrend rally of commodities foreshadowed by negative concentration discussed months ago, it won't reverse defensive global capital flows regardless of the hype. Defensive money flows likely includes US Treasury bonds until the wolf pack culls the herd of weak European and Asian debt. Only after the herd has been thinned will it focus on the US. Today's largely technical and countertrend decline should reverse and return to mark up as the global economy turns down. Gentleman could very well prefer government bonds, notes, and bills at least in the initial stages of the next panic.

Complacency towards longer duration bonds, however, should turn to fear. What Mellow omitted is that investors prefer the public sector (bonds) when confidence in the private sector (stocks) is failing. Investors preferred bonds in 1929 because confidence in the private sector was failing. While gentlemen could prefer bonds in the initial stages of the next panic, they'll like turn on them as confidence in the public sector falters from an already shaky position. This will turn complacency into fear rather quickly.

Insights follows interplay of price, leverage, time, and sentiment (click for further discussion of Reviews) to help recognize the transition from cause (building) to mark up or mark down for subscribers.

Please join us.





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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Friday, July 31, 2015

US Stock Building Cause Ahead of Interest Rate Hike

News
The public, largely following the daily chatter, opinions of the moment rather than the message of the market, generally believes that the market reacts to news. The market, however, move in anticipate of future events (news). Experienced traders recognize this tendency as buying the rumor and selling the fact (news).

The majority still believes the Fed will hold it interest rate policy for the rest of the year. The message of the market that includes hints from the Fed suggests that a change in interest rate policy could come as early as September; the Fed recognizes that pension funds are in trouble and need higher interest rates to survive.

US stocks, building cause that shifting sentiment of the majority from optimistic (greed) to pessimistic (fear), could produce a false breakdown. This breakdown could produce a flash crash similar to the 1987 decline in which the authorities will likely search for that elusive short seller or fat finger behind the decline; the need to place blame (Jesse Livermoore) rather than interpret it as a manifestation of human behavior exists not only in China but also the US. Investors must be patience and prepared.

Headline: Who needs the Fed? The rate hike cometh on its own

NEW YORK (Reuters) - As traders, market pundits and economists jaw over whether the Federal Reserve this year will lift its benchmark lending rate for the first time in almost a decade, several corners of the U.S. bond market aren't waiting around.

A wide range of short-term interest rates, which tend to be the most sensitive to Fed policy expectations, have been quietly grinding higher for weeks, or in some cases much longer. Several have even surpassed their levels from two years ago during the bond market's "taper tantrum," when prices tanked and yields shot up as the Fed pondered whether to halt its massive asset-purchase programme.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.