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Sentiment towards stocks is beginning to rise ever so slightly even as talk of further restrictions (lockdown) are beginning to rise. The debate over whether schools should open this fall is getting louder. The President recently stumbled into the conversation by suggesting funding would be cut if schools don't open. This conversation will only further divide the nation that's already not ready for the economic and social disruptions yet to come.
The invisible hand continues to push the lockdown outcome. Subscribers recognize it by the Nasdaq 100 leadership in the Intermarket Trends table of the Matrix. The Nasdaq 100 outperformance (32% higher than the S&P 500 for 72 weeks) is staggering. 32% is 3.2 standard deviations above the normal cycle observation. BuST = 1.6 says the 72 weeks is getting old, but it could go higher. Readings above 2 are concentrated and rare.
The lockdown trend will likely push extremes not seen since the dot.com bubble. Inexperienced traders will find themselves long and unable to sell their positions if/when money flows change direction.
Nasdaq 100 vs Russell 2000
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