Wednesday, June 29, 2016

06/24/16 #USDollarIndex Chart

US Dollar
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

The US Dollar Index's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of US Dollar Index for subscribers.

Chart


Subscriber Comments



----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Rising Pessimism A Byproduct of Headlines and Emotion Driven Investing

News
The majority, a day late and dollar short in terms of timing, will only recognize a bull market after trading accounts have been drained by bearish bets.  As Insight subscribers already know, US stocks as well as many other markets will flip rather unexpectedly when the majority turns extremely pessimistic (see Review of Sentiment); this is happening now. Headlines such as "picking up dimes in front of a freight train" are turning the majority bearish, pessimistic, and preparing them to assume their historical role as the bagholders of trend transitions. Smart money only has to recognize, wait, and fade the extreme pessimism of the majority.

Be wary of shock and awe bearish calls until at least the message of the market confirms it (see S&P 500 Chart).

Headline: Buying stocks like 'picking up dimes in front of a freight train,' manager says

Holding all of the stocks in the S&P 500 is expected to grant investors a greater return, purely in terms of yield, than holding the 10-year Treasury bond, a somewhat unusual condition that has tended to coincide with impressive returns for equities.

Current analyst expectations are for the S&P 500 stocks to collectively return 2.28 percent in dividends over the next year, somewhat higher than the 2.1 percent yield seen over the past year. This compares to a 10-year yield of 1.47 percent, which is considerably lower than it was before the U.K. voted to leave the European Union.


more

----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

06/24/16 #SP500 Chart Updated

SP 500 Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

S&P500's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in the COT Matrix, Review of SP500, Review of Sentiment for subscribers.

Chart


Subscriber Comments



----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Special: Content #Key from June to Dec $40, $20 Savings

Special: June-Dec $40, $20 Savings

Save $20 on Insights key. Enhance your understanding of trends, leverage, and time through the message of the market. This message is tracked by computers, not human behavior.

Rising volatility is confusing both bulls and bears. This makes understanding the message of the market even more important. The message of the market, subtle and quiet in comparison to the thundering voices descending from the pulpit of opinions, is often hidden in plain sight by the daily distractions of life.

If you haven't received your key within 24 hours, please contact us

Enter Information Here:

Select Timeframe (Required)
Confirmation Email (Required)
Message to Eric (Optional)
Follow these three easy steps to receive an Insight key today:

1. Select Time frame (Required)

Select the current month or desired time frame to active your key. For example, Jan-Dec $120 USD (first option from the pull down menu) to activate a key from January to December. This is the maximum price for a calendar year. Price declines $10 USD per month until the June. The price from June, July, and August to December is $60. This discount is part of the "summer doldrums offer".

2. Confirmation Email (Required)

Enter confirmation email for delivery of your key. Entries are case sensitive. Key are sent once payments and emails are approved and processed. Confirmation email can be redirected by aggressive spam or junk mail filters, so plan accordingly. Keys are sent within 24 hours of payment.

3. Message to Eric (Optional)

Enter short message or additional instructions.

4. Click PayNow (Required)

Paypal, a leading provider of secure online money transfers, will handle payments. Paypal accepts paypal transfers, major credit cards, bank wires, bitcoin (BitPay, Coinbase, or GoCoin), eChecks, and more as payment.

Notes:
  • Key is active for the entire calendar year.
  • A new key is generated each year.
  • Information about subscribers is not stored, redistributed, or sold.


Please contact us for help or additional questions.

Name

Email *

Message *


Prosperity to Liquidation Transition Coming, Headlines Forced To Recognize #Recession Soon

News
The majority believes the Fed, Trump, Hillary or Congress manage the economy, while a select minority, followers of the message of the market and hopefully Insights, understands its the domain of the invisible hand. The Economic Activity Composite (EAC), a leading measure of economic activity within the United States and economic timing tool, has been signaling a business cycle (BC) transition from prosperity to liquidation since early 2015 (chart). Liquidation and crisis, the corrective phase of the BC, will be driving public sector defaults by 2017.  The Fed either reverses courses and start to raise rates ahead of the crisis, or it will be forced to do so, dragged kicking and screaming, by mark forces in 2017.

Chart Economic Activity Index (EAI)


Headline: Gross Says U.S. Recession Odds May Be 30% to 50% Post-Brexit

The odds of a U.S. recession may be as high as 50 percent following last week’s vote in the U.K. to exit the European Union, according to Bill Gross, manager of the Janus Global Unconstrained Bond Fund.


more

----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Follow Us on #Social Media

Social Media
Please follow us on social media for special content (fast twitter updates) and to help spread the message of the market rather than opinions.

Insights is a forum that uses the markets as the ultimate teacher and provides unique perspective on capital market, economic, and geopolitical trends.






RSS
Twitter
FB
Google+










----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

06/24/16 #Soybeans Chart

Soybeans Chart
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Beans' overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the COT Matrix and Review of Soybeans for subscribers.

Chart


Subscriber Comments



----------------------------------

Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.