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Saturday, September 20, 2014

Diffusion Charts Updated 09/16/14

DI Charts


    Bond DI Chart
    Major Currency DI Chart
    Gold DI Chart
    Silver DI Chart
    Copper DI Chart

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Gasoline Transitioning From Bear To Bull

Gasoline
The gasoline trade/setup is slowly maturing. Price, falling steadily within a bear phase or negative to positive DI oscillation that begin late March to early April and bearish seasonality cycle, has converted the majority (herd) of once snorting bulls into growling, cantankerous bears. This conversion which depicts a growing imbalance between supply and demand makes the trend vulnerable to an unexpected change of direction. The current bear phase, slowly maturing, will be followed by a bull; this is guaranteed. The adaptive trader; therefore, must ready to act without confirmation of herd (majority).



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As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by an Insights key.



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Friday, September 19, 2014

COT Matrix Updated 09/16/14

COT Matrix


COT Matrix

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As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by an Insights key.



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Review of Lumber

Lumber
Lumber traders, influenced more by the short- than long-term, have likely forgotten lumber's positive to negative DI oscillation or bull phase. Today's oscillation which likely ends under a crescendo of buying, greed, and bearish setups won't be a straight-line move. Ebb and flow within every oscillation generates plenty of misplaced doubt, fear, confidence, and greed.

For now, lumber builds cause for another move. If lumber's DI rallies against falling prices, it increases the probability that the rally will continue. Seasonal cycles help pinpoint the transition from cause building to rally or decline (chart).



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As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by an Insights key.



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Up Trend In Stocks Resilient

Nasdaq
Price may have smashed through minor support with force on 9/15, but it returned above it the next day (chart 1).  In other words, price action generate a lot of noise but generated no follow through.  In addition, REV(E), a leading indicator of price, is approaching another all-time high; a breakout to new highs increases the probability of a similar outcome by price.

The high volume test of minor support increases the probability that this zone will be tested again.  This probability of this retest declines with the passage of time.

A breakout to new highs shifts the path of least resistance from down to up.


Chart




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Scots Vote Against Separation (For Now)


News
Do you think majority of Californians, most dependent on the federal and state assistant programs to eek out a subsistence living, would vote to leave the US Union or California? That outcome, despite lots of flag waving and media hype, would be highly unlikely today. That is, unless, the majority of Californians started to realize that the promises used to prevent separation weren't worth the paper they're printing on.

While socialist's may see the failed vote for independence a vote of confidence for the status quo, their victory party won't last long. Tax increases and shrinking standard of livings within the base (working class) that supports socialism solidifies the rising trend of social disorder going forward. This trend will likely accelerate once the business cycle turns down and the promises are challenged publicly as worthless.

A battle in the war against separation may have been won, but the Scottish vote, regardless of the headline interpretations, has not ended the war.

Headline: Scots spurn independence in historic vote but demand new powers

(Reuters) - Scotland spurned independence in a historic referendum that threatened to rip the United Kingdom apart, sow financial turmoil and diminish Britain’s remaining global clout.

A vote for the 307-year union is a relief for millions of Britons including Prime Minister David Cameron, whose job was on the line, as well as allies across the world who were horrified at the prospect of the United Kingdom's separation.

more

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As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by an Insights key.



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Thursday, September 18, 2014

IBM cuts pay for workers it says can't keep up: Report

Select employees, interpreted as those without leverage in the company, forced to train at reduced pay for the betterment of the company. A slick PR move that likely reduces the workforce without incurring those nasty severance payments.

Headline: IBM cuts pay for workers it says can't keep up: Report

The memo states that workers will need to dedicate one day per week to training so that they can "focus on learning and development."

But during their training, employees will also receive a 10 percent pay cut.


more

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As a special thanks to the loyal Insights supporters, additional, market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis will be provided to Insight donors in 2014. This analysis will be revealed by an Insights key.



Paypal, a leading provider of secure online money transfers, will handle donations. Thank you for your contribution.