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Friday, May 24, 2013

Technical Review of the Gold Shares

For further discussion on interpretations of the indicators below Technical Review of Gold Shares 5/22/13

Charts




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Technical Review of Gold

Chart: Gold ETF (GLD)


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Thursday, May 23, 2013

Capital Flowing From Periphery To Core

While the path of least resistance is up, it's getting a little extended.

The Fed who talks loudly but carries a small stick* can generate reactions in extended markets.  But, that's about it. Capital adapting to the increasing risk of another global, financial shock has been flowing steadily from the periphery to core economy to varying degrees since 2010-2011.

China, the world's production center and next locus of power, started lagging the US market in 2010.  This is capital's way of saying a financial shock is inevitable.

Chart 1:  FTSE China and SP 500


Out of frying pan and into the fire, capital has been fleeing the periphery to 'safety' of the core.  This flow has supported the dollar and gold (to varying degrees) since 2008.   Gold's potential and role as a transition asset will be fully realized once the core is challenged.  The core, regardless of what MSM thinks the Fed and Treasury can do, will be challenged.

* The Fed does not control of the trends created by global capital flows.

Until then, capital keeps pushing the following trends:

More Charts and Analysis



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Focus On Relative Performance Trends Not Daily Trading Noise In Retail Sales

Chart: Retail Stocks to SP 500 Ratio


Headline: Target's 1Q profit drops 26 pct on weak sales

NEW YORK (AP) -- Target Corp. reported a 26 percent drop in first-quarter profit as cool temperatures and financial pressures limited customers' appetite for spending.

The company, based in Minneapolis, also cut its annual profit outlook, sending its stock down in premarket trading.

more


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Technical Review of US Long Bonds

Chart: US Long Bonds ETF (TLT)


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Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Cyprus Was A Model For Future Bank Failures

The EU reportedly has agreed with “overwhelming majority” depositors over 100,000 will be recovered in event of a bank failure from 2016. The EU Law Committee also confirmed what the market already knows - Cyprus was a model.

Headline: EU plans saver expropriation from 2016

The EU reportedly has agreed with "overwhelming majority" that from 2016, savers must bleed event of bank failure. Deposits over 100000 euros are then gone. EU Law Committee: Cyprus was a model.

more


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Technical Review of the Gold Shares

  • Green/blue = up trend
  • Red/yellow = down trend

Chart 1: Gold Miners Index ETF (GDX)


Further Analysis




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