Tuesday, April 23, 2019

#Gold Review $GLD

Gold Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Gold's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Gold's DI is finally rising as price falls. DI has risen to -24% from -84%, over the span of month. This is bullish, but does not define a bullish setup (statistically significant accumulation). Gold continues to struggle because the dollar continues to be a lot stronger than anyone expects and confidence is still not bearish. Big trouble is brewing in Europe, so the invisible hand is likely accumulating ahead of a big headlines that sends confidence tumbling.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Palladium Review $PALL

Palladium Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Palladium's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Palladium DI, a measure of accumulation/distribution, has been rising steadily from -40% (pre hit) to 40% (today). DI readings above 60%, bullish setups, show statistically significantly accumulation. We're getting close. Trading activity since the hits can only be described as weak hand (trading funds and retail traders) selling to strong hands (commercial traders). WA%, a measure of participation in the futures and options market, has collapsed from 72% (pre hit) to 13% (today). This trend defines a "quiet" market where open interest is contracting rather expanding. Trends often change directions during quiet phases.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Matrix Updated #Stocks #Bonds #Commodities #Bitcoin

The Matrix
The PREV (the Matrix), an array that displays alignment of price & volume (trends) within the cycle of TIME, intermarket money flows, and the flow of sentiment, helps subscribers recognize buying and selling opportunities for 44 markets. Markets include #stocks, #bonds, #forex, #Bitcoin & #Commodities.

Full subscription provides full access to the Matrix that's updated daily.

Limited or Free Subscription provides full access to an evaluation Matrix that's updated periodically.

Subscription service has been restarted. Free access to the Evaluation Matrix has not changed. The Evaluation Matrix will be updated periodically.


PREV (the Matrix)


Subscriber Comments

New alignments: Retail Stocks

The US economic activity, a service rather than manufacturing based economy, is lead by retail sales and retail stocks. Retail stocks have been underperforming the broader market for 30 weeks, BrST = 0.9. This underperformance, while again past its cyclical mean, have been raising eyebrows of concern for disciplined investors. The US domestic economy, the sole engine of growth for the global economy, has been deteriorating for nearly a year. Yet, the majority of investors think the economy is ok. Underperformance of retail stocks (LTCO < 0) is also confirmed by the underpeformance of junk bonds (LTCO < 0). Neither trends are extremely old, which means economic deterioration will likely worsen in 2019. Follow the Matrix.


Intermarket Trends


Using the Matrix

The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.

Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.

Feedback

Subscribers are encouraged to submit comments or questions about the Matrix/Insights.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Monday, April 22, 2019

#Stock Review Google #GOOG

Stock Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

GE's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, are defined and discussed in the The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Bearish US stocks and technology? Triple upside alignment of Google with breakout (BO) in the primary trend says your on the wrong side of the trade.

DEFINING THE TREND


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These trends are defined in The Matrix for subscribers.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

#Platinum Review $PPLT

Platinum Review
Those that view the message of the market on daily basis are likely confused by trading noise. While trading noise contributes to the long-term trends, it does not define them. Human behavior tries to explain trading noise as a meaningful trend. This confuses the majority which, in turn, contributes to their role as bagholders of trend transitions.

Platinum's overall trend, revealed by trends of price, leverage, and time, defined and are discussed in The Matrix for subscribers.

Subscriber Comments

Platinum trend setup is fairly clear (see Matrix Line 30). It's struggling short-term only because the invisible hand has placed a blocking dome over the swing high. Blocking domes, setups formed when DI falls below -60% under double or triple alignment, is prevent the advance from accelerating. Not all blocking domes are successful, especially under alignment.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.