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Tuesday, January 27, 2015

Tumbling Dollar Will Only Fool the Fools, Capital Flows Follow Global Risk

News
Headlines such as Dollar tumbles after surprisingly weak durable goods number may fool the fools, but it won't alter capital flows from the periphery to the core.

The strength of safe haven capital flows must be respected. A transition to a bear phase, defined as consolidation or profit-taking by the media, doesn't mean prices will collapse. Weak bear phases, those that briefly retest the breakout points, often setup stronger than expected rallies when the cycle flips to bull, Review of the US Dollar Index (01/05/15).

This is the message of the market. Up is up and the trend supersedes all interpretations. Debating the merits of up with those committed to the weak dollar thesis, a scenario that will unfold when the time is right, is not productive. Hardcore bears will only recognize up until trading accounts have been drained.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Defining Gold's Rally

Gold Shares
A growing number of analysts are claiming that gold has broken out from a massive base. In terms of the cycle of accumulation and distribution, they're saying gold has jumped the creek of cause and entered mark up (phase). These calls, rays of hope for long-term bulls, cannot be confirmed by the message of the market.







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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Review of Lumber

Lumber
Lumber jumped the creek of resistance in December 2012. This technical breakout triggered a mark up phase that can only be described as tepid. Price, unable to overcome the highs of the initial impulse, has tested the breakout zone twice. This lackluster action, more characteristic of cause building than mark up, could be hinting at a trend reversal as a seasonal transition approaches and the global economy continues to degrade at the periphery.

The professional investors must profit by anticipating future trends and events rather than chasing old news. This is done by following the invisible hand or message of the market. That message, the simultaneous study of the the cycle of accumulation and distribution (trend), the distribution, movement, and participation of leverage (leverage), time/cycles, and human behavior void of opinions is defined below:



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Monday, January 26, 2015

One Time Reviews for $5

01/20/15 Gold Review $5

01/20/15 US Stock Review $5





Individual reviews, labelled as Gold One-Time, US Stocks One-Time, and so on and priced at $5 for unlimited viewing, are opened with one-time keys. These periodic reviews provide non-subscribers a low-cost opportunity to access restricted content.  Keys, specific to each review by date, provide access as long as they remain on the server.

Subscribers have access to all restricted reviews on Insights.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Hope But Nothing Has Changed Yet

News
The Greek youth have spoken. Unfortunately, nothing will change - meaning their voice will likely be ignored until the economic implosion reaches the core (economy). The flow of capital from the periphery to core; therefore, will continue. While the stock futures are point to a lower open, it's unlikely to reverse reverse the broader uptrend. Disciplined money ignores the headlines and 'sees' the following:





Headline: Stock futures edge lower after Greek elections

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. stock index futures dipped on Monday after a victory by the leftist Syriza party in Greece raised concerns about new instability in the euro zone.

The party looked set to take on Greece's international lenders, with leader Alexis Tsipras pledging to end five years of austerity and renegotiate Greece's debt agreements. Investors were concerned that potential conflicts with other euro zone governments could put more strain on the currency bloc.


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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Review of Cocoa

Cocoa
The old Wall Street saying, bulls make money, bears make money, and pigs get slaughtered warns against excessive greed and impatience when investing. Cocoa's close below 36.05 as it enters seasonal weakness should not be ignored.

The professional investors must profit by anticipating future trends and events rather than chasing old news. This is done by following the invisible hand or message of the market. That message, the simultaneous study of the the cycle of accumulation and distribution (trend), the distribution, movement, and participation of leverage (leverage), time/cycles, and human behavior void of opinions is defined below:



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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.

Sunday, January 25, 2015

Euro, stocks fall as anti-austerity party wins Greek election

News
Greece risks rising social disorder if they do not withdrawal from the Euro. Sweeping victory in a snap election indicates that the people understand and do not want this outcome. If Greece leaves, others are certain to follow. The Euro, driven by the invisible hand, will discount these outcomes before they become headline news.





Headline: Euro, stocks fall as anti-austerity party wins Greek election

TOKYO (Reuters) - The euro skidded to near an 11-year low and U.S. stock futures fell on Monday as Greece's Syriza party promised to roll back austerity measures after sweeping to victory in a snap election, putting Athens on a collision course with international lenders.

The euro fell to as low as $1.1135 on the vote outcome, not far off an 11-year low of $1.1115 touched on Friday when the common currency took a battering after the European Central Bank unveiled a bond-buying stimulus program last week.

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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.