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PREV (the Matrix)
New alignments: Cotton, Yen, Soybeans
Trade talks, sprinkled with ultimatums by the President, raise doubts of whether a deal is possible. The Chinese warned that additional tariffs would damage current negotiations, so unless the Administration is willing to call that bluff, it appears we've reached a point of deal or no deal.
The investment world continues to debate whether the economy is slowing or not and Fed will cut rates in July. The Economic Activity Composite (EAC) show deterioration, but nothing super alarming through July. Deterioration from current levels would be troublesome and most likely predict the onset of a recession. Subscribers must watch the EAC closely this summer. Continuation of deterioration with upticks in the Precious Metals Composite would be clear warnings from the invisible hand that something is wrong.
Using the Matrix
The value of the Matrix is far more than a study of price. Trends are a function of price, volume (force), volatility, and TIME. The order of their importance is as follows: (1) TIME, (2) volatility, (3) volume & price alignment. Volume and price alignment, a setup that triggers action, favors Grade A & B, early cycle markets under high compression (↓COM). ↓COM suggests extremely low volatility, a quiet trend ready to explode into high compression (↑EXP). Weekly and monthly breakout signals are not finalized until the end of the week and month, respectively. Signals generated before that could be temporary. Keep this in mind when reading alignment.
Suggested Reading: The Cycle of Accumulation and Distribution (CAD), Leverage Oscillator (LTLO), Diffusion Index (DI), Volatility Bandwidth (BW), Compression (COM), Expansion (EXP), Alignment, Upside Alignment, Downside Alignment, Sentiment Model, Intermarket Trends, VIX Model, Economic Activity Composite, Long Term Cycles.
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Market-driven money flow, trend, and intermarket analysis is provided by an Insights key.