- Concentration of capital into US federal budget (chart 2).
- Concentration of capital into US equities (chart 3).
- Concentration of capital defined by cycle readings in excess of two, maybe three standard of deviations (chart 2 and 3) as the economic cycle changes from up to down.
Chart 1: US Federal Budget (Surplus or Deficit As A % of GDP, 12 Month Moving Average) and Gold London P.M. Fixed
Chart 2: Large Cap Stock Capital Appreciation Index (LCSCAI) and US Federal Budget (Surplus or Deficit As A % of GDP, 12 Month Moving Average) Cycle Z Scores (SDC1 & SDC2)
Chart 3: Large Cap Stocks Total Return Index (LCSTRI), LCSTRI to Gold Ratio (LCSTRIGOLDR) and LCSTRI Cycle Z Scores (LCSTRIC3 & LCSTRIRC4)
Enjoy the rally while it lasts.
Headline: U.S. Posts Biggest Monthly Surplus in 5 Years
By Jeffrey Sparshott
The U.S. government posted its biggest monthly budget surplus in five years as record revenues bolster federal finances and push off a drop-dead date for the debt ceiling.
The budget surplus was $112.89 billion in April, compared with $59.12 billion a year earlier. Economists surveyed by Dow Jones Newswires had forecast a $106.5 billion surplus for the month.
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