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Friday, May 10, 2013

Technical Review of US Treasury Bonds

Chart Observations:

  • As long as HighOsc and LowOsc > 0 (positive), the uptrend in bonds remains in tact (chart 1). If the LowOsc < 0 (turns negative), the trend changes from up to down.
  • Consolidation within the up trend began in early May (chart 2).
  • Resumption of the up trend will paint a green stick in the weekly chart first.
  • COT data should reveal accumulation or distribution of the recent decline.  Accumulation and distribution would be bullish and bearish, respectively.

Chart: US Treasury Bonds ETF (TLT) Monthly

Chart 2: US Treasury Bonds ETF (TLT) Weekly


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