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Friday, May 4, 2012

Hey Gold Share Investors, Smoke Doesn't Allows Mean Fire

Ignite a smoke grenade and scream fire in crowded movie theater and patrons will run first and ask logical questions second. This is exactly what's going on the gold shares, except substitute smoke grenade with paper supply and fire with "head and shoulders top".

I rarely show this chart, but I must to support the following point. Compare multi-decade breakout of 1961 with that of 2010. If you listen very carefully, you can hear the invisible hand chuckling over the screams of panic.

Chart: S&P Gold (Formerly Precious Metals Mining)* S&P Gold from 1945, Barron's Gold Stock Index from 1939-1945, 1922-1939 Homestake Mining


Eric:

Your Gold Shares to Gold commentary and chart were of interest today.

It’s interesting to me that you use 4.3 and 8.6 as cycle measurements; those are the same cycle numbers that Armstrong uses for some of his work.

The sentiment in share sector is horrible, as you know. I can always tell what is happening by which clients call me during a cycle move. Certain clients call me when things are good; certain clients call me when things are like now. I just got another one of the second kind this morning. I am blessed with wonderful clients, but that makes me want this to change for their benefit, sooner rather than later.

Have a good weekend!

Kevin

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