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Friday, July 22, 2011

Silver Is A Tough Game

The practice of "beating the grass to startle the snakes" works both ways. That is, headlines not only sell fear but also greed. The market is saying that the easier entry point as defined long-side statistical concentration within a secular bull market has passed – nothing more.

Silver is a tough game because it demands buying fear and selling/holding greed.

Silver London P.M Fixed and the Silver Diffusion Index (DI)


Headline: Silver May Rebound to Test $100 Level, Citigroup Says: Technical Analysis

Silver may more than double to $100 an ounce if the current bull market follows similar patterns seen between 1971 and 1980, according to technical analysis by Citigroup Global Markets Inc.

The attached chart shows spot silver had “two legs up” with an interim corrective move down in the last major bull market from November 1971 through January 1980, Citigroup analysts led by New York-based Tom Fitzpatrick wrote in a report. In the current uptrend that started in November 2001, the metal jumped 5.8 times through March 2008 before slipping 60 percent, they said. The price then rebounded and tested the 1980 high earlier this year, they said.

Source: bloomberg.com

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